Impact of frailty on the performance of the National Early Warning Score 2 to predict poor outcome in patients hospitalised due to COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: The National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) is a scoring tool predictive of poor outcome in hospitalised patients. Older patients with COVID-19 have increased risk of poor outcome, but it is not known if frailty may impact the predictive performance of NEWS2. We aimed to investigate the impact of frailty on the performance of NEWS2 to predict in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalised due to COVID-19. METHODS: We included all patients admitted to a non-university Norwegian hospital due to COVID-19 from 9 March 2020 until 31 December 2021. NEWS2 was scored based on the first vital signs recorded upon hospital admission. Frailty was defined as a Clinical Frailty Scale score ≥ 4. The performance of a NEWS2 score ≥ 5 to predict in-hospital mortality was assessed with sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) according to frailty status. RESULTS: Out of 412 patients, 70 were aged ≥ 65 years and with frailty. They presented less frequently with respiratory symptoms, and more often with acute functional decline or new-onset confusion. In-hospital mortality was 6% in patients without frailty, and 26% in patients with frailty. NEWS2 predicted in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 86%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 64%-97% and AUROC 0.73, 95% CI 0.65-0.81 in patients without frailty. In older patients with frailty, sensitivity was 61%, 95% CI 36%-83% and AUROC 0.61, 95% CI 0.48-0.75. CONCLUSION: A single NEWS2 score at hospital admission performed poorly to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with frailty and COVID-19 and should be used with caution in this patient group. Graphical abstract summing up study design, results and conclusion.

Three waves of COVID-19 in a Norwegian local hospital. / Tre bølger med covid-19 på et norsk lokalsykehus.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this article is to summarise the course of illness and treatment for patients with COVID-19 admitted to Bærum Hospital since the start of the pandemic. MATERIAL AND METHOD: We present data from a prospective observational study with the aim of systematising knowledge about patients admitted because of COVID-19. All patients admitted to Bærum Hospital up to and including 28 June 2021 were included. The results are presented for three waves of admissions: 9 March-23 June 2020, 21 September 2020-28 February 2021 and 1 March-28 June 2021. RESULTS: A total of 300 patients, divided into 77, 101 and 122 in the three waves respectively, were admitted because of COVID-19. The number of hospital deaths during the three waves was 14 (18 %), 11 (11 %) and 5 (4 %) respectively. The average age of the patients was 67.6 years in the first wave and 53.3 years in the third wave. Altogether 204 patients (68 %) received medical oxygen or ventilation support, and 31 of these (10 % of all the patients) received invasive ventilation support. Non-invasive ventilation support was used as the highest level of treatment in 4 (8 %), 9 (13 %) and 17 (20 %) patients with respiratory failure in the three waves respectively. In the second and third wave, 125 out of 152 patients with respiratory failure (82 %) were treated with dexamethasone. INTERPRETATION: Differences in patient characteristics and changes to treatment methods, such as the use of dexamethasone and non-invasive ventilation support, may have contributed to the apparent fall in mortality from the first to the third wave. Conditions that are not registered in the study, such as vaccination status, may also have impacted on mortality.